Modesto, CA weather in October
Expect mild, dry weather in Modesto in October, with highs near 79°F and lows near 52°F. Rain falls on about 2 days. Great for outdoor plans.
- Normal high
- 79°F
- Normal low
- 52°F
- Wet days
- 2
- 0.6 in total
- Muggy days
- 0
- dew point 65°F+
How October changes from start to finish
| October 1 | October 31 | |
|---|---|---|
| Normal high | 85°F | 73°F |
| Normal low | 56°F | 47°F |
| Chance of a wet day | 5% | 12% |
| Sunrise / sunset | 6:59 am / 6:47 pm | 7:28 am / 6:06 pm |
| Daylight | 11.8 h | 10.7 h |
Chance of a wet day: average for the first and last 7 days of the month. Times are local clock time (Pacific Time).
A typical October day
- 6 am52°Fdew point 45°F
- 9 am64°Fdew point 48°F
- Noon74°Fdew point 47°F
- 3 pm78°Fdew point 45°F
- 6 pm70°Fdew point 46°F
- 9 pm62°Fdew point 47°F
NOAA hourly normals (local standard time) from Stockton Metro Airport (21 mi away); average wind 6 mph; clear or few clouds in 86% of daytime hours, mostly cloudy or overcast in 11%.
What kind of days to expect
- Comfortable dayshigh 65-80°F and dew point under 60°F17 of 31
- Hot dayshigh 90°F or more3 of 31
- Muggy daysdaily mean dew point 65°F or more0 of 31
- Wet daysat least 0.01 in of rain or melted snow2 of 31
- Notable rainat least 0.10 in1 of 31
- Freezing nightslow 32°F or below0 of 31
Average days per October, counted from daily records for each year 1991-2020.
Rain in October
Normal precipitation is 0.6 in; a dry October brings about 0.04 in and a wet one about 0.9 in (25th and 75th percentiles). Days with half an inch or more are rare.
How October varies from year to year
- Warmest October, 1991-20202015: average high 84°F
- Coolest October1998: average high 74°F
- Wettest October2016: 2.0 in
- Driest October1995: no measurable precipitation
- Highest reading101°F (October 10, 1991)
- Lowest reading36°F (October 31, 2019)
From the station's daily records with NOAA quality flags removed; most recent date shown when a reading repeats.
October compared with September and November
| September | October | November | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Normal high | 89°F | 79°F | 66°F |
| Normal low | 59°F | 52°F | 43°F |
| Wet days | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Comfortable days | 4 | 17 | 16 |
| Daylight | 12.4 h | 11.2 h | 10.2 h |
Highs change by -10°F from September and -13°F into November.
Nearby alternatives in October
- Warmer: Solvang, CA216 mi · high 84°F · 3 wet days
- Cooler: Fremont, CA55 mi · high 73°F · 3 wet days
How Modesto ranks in October
- Normal high106th warmest of 378 cities; 28th of 60 in California
- Wet days35th driest of 378
- Comfortable days34th most of 340
What to pack for Modesto in October
- Layers – afternoons near 79°F but nights near 52°F
Heating and cooling
October has 68 heating degree days and 75 cooling degree days (base 65°F), 4% of the year's total heating and cooling demand.
Questions
How hot is Modesto in October?
The normal high is 79°F and the normal low is 52°F. From 1991 to 2020 the hottest October reading was 101°F (October 10, 1991).
Does it rain a lot in Modesto in October?
About 2 days in October have at least 0.01 in of precipitation, and the normal total is 0.6 in. The wettest October in 1991-2020 was in 2016 (2.1 in); the driest was in 1995, with no measurable precipitation.
Is October a good time to visit Modesto?
October ranks 3rd of 12 months on our comfort score for Modesto (70 out of 100). It has about 17 comfortable days and about 3 days at 90°F or hotter. The best month is April.
Where the numbers come from
- Temperature, rain and frost dates: Modesto City Co Airport (USW00023258), 2.7 mi ESE of the city center, 73 ft . NOAA normals and daily records, 1991-2020.
- Snowfall and snow depth: Turlock #2 (USC00049073), 13 mi SE of the city center, 103 ft . NOAA normals and daily records, 1991-2020.
- Humidity and wind by hour and cloud cover: Stockton Metro Airport (USW00023237), 21 mi NW of the city center, 26 ft (62 ft lower than the city). NOAA normals and daily records, 1991-2020.
- Daily humidity and wind: Mdsto Cty-Co H Sham Fd Apt (724926-23258), 2.5 mi ESE of the city center, 87 ft . Hourly observations, 1991-2020.